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Red35
543625.8
661613.0
77167.3
Blue42
656713.4
83510.3
9414.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50321020406070803542

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.81.5
25.824.3
Auto4.6
Teleop15.6
End5.6
red by 11.5
94
#21
14.31.2
10.311.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End3.8
Second
6616
#12
13.01.5
13.311.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End2.7
blue by 0.4
13.41.1
11.712.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.4
End3.3
Third
7716
#26
7.31.5
8.16.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End1.6
blue by 3.0
835
#25
10.31.1
8.59.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed