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Red41
674219.8
656713.4
72329.7
Blue37
485110.7
661613.0
65458.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443101020405060704137

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6742
#11
19.80.0
18.017.9
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End3.9
red by 6.8
6616
#12
13.00.7
11.912.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End2.7
Second
13.40.0
12.812.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.4
End3.3
red by 2.7
4851
#31
10.70.8
11.412.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.8
End2.1
Third
7232
#28
9.70.0
10.810.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End2.9
red by 1.4
6545
#33
8.30.7
5.76.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed