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Red47
776220.3
309612.3
481513.9
Blue52
695817.2
656618.0
36326.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35331020304050604752

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7762
#18
20.30.9
15.316.2
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End3.7
red by 2.4
6566
#23
18.01.4
13.615.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Second
4815
#33
13.90.9
9.510.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End1.9
blue by 3.3
6958
#20
17.21.4
14.515.9
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End4.3
Third
3096
#34
12.30.9
8.29.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End3.0
red by 6.2
3632
#38
6.11.4
3.44.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed