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Red54
686210.5
91024.9
353921.1
Blue75
481513.9
653213.2
24528.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5453405060705475

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#5
24.90.2
22.322.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.9
End6.6
blue by 3.2
245
#1
28.01.6
27.028.6
Auto5.5
Teleop16.6
End5.9
Second
3539
#30
21.10.2
19.519.7
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End2.8
red by 7.2
4815
#33
13.91.6
10.612.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End1.9
Third
6862
#39
10.50.2
9.69.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.0
End3.0
blue by 2.7
6532
#37
13.21.6
12.714.4
Auto5.4
Teleop4.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsEarned