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Red43
716815.6
330219.2
656618.0
Blue58
611715.7
46914.1
233728.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4457203040507080904358

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3302
#32
19.20.1
13.914.0
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End4.0
blue by 9.2
28.50.3
24.224.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End7.8
Second
6566
#23
18.00.1
15.715.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 2.3
6117
#26
15.70.3
16.416.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End2.9
Third
7168
#36
15.60.1
12.412.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End3.1
red by 1.4
469
#24
14.10.3
12.913.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed52%HAB Docking oddsEarned