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Red39
261215.8
716815.6
476818.4
Blue48
91024.9
776921.1
36326.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48520204060801001201403948

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4768
#35
18.40.4
18.117.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.5
End3.9
blue by 6.5
910
#5
24.90.1
21.921.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.9
End6.6
Second
2612
#29
15.80.4
14.914.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.2
End4.2
blue by 5.2
7769
#12
21.10.1
21.121.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End6.6
Third
7168
#36
15.60.4
12.512.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End3.1
red by 9.5
3632
#38
6.10.1
6.66.5
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed74%HAB Docking oddsMissed