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Red44
722412.3
716815.6
481018.6
Blue69
776220.3
353921.1
259115.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465520304050607080904469

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4810
#13
18.60.0
17.817.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.2
End5.0
blue by 2.5
3539
#30
21.10.7
20.220.9
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End2.8
Second
7168
#36
15.60.0
12.112.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End3.1
blue by 4.8
7762
#18
20.30.7
17.017.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End3.7
Third
7224
#40
12.30.0
13.613.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.1
End4.0
blue by 3.5
2591
#27
15.80.7
15.316.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed