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Red36
309612.3
259115.8
72188.7
Blue64
521516.6
612019.3
6818.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37501020306070803664

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2591
#27
15.80.0
16.016.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End3.1
blue by 3.5
6120
#21
19.30.9
16.317.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End5.0
Second
3096
#34
12.30.0
11.411.4
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End3.0
blue by 5.8
68
#8
18.20.9
17.418.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End5.8
Third
7218
#41
8.70.0
8.08.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End1.6
blue by 8.0
5215
#15
16.60.9
13.714.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking oddsMissed46%HAB Docking oddsEarned