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Red87
5129.5
481122.7
759713.9
Blue66
776220.3
521516.6
46914.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6648203040607080908766

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#2
29.51.7
28.830.4
Auto5.2
Teleop15.0
End9.3
red by 9.1
7762
#18
20.31.4
16.918.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End3.7
Second
4811
#11
22.71.7
20.422.1
Auto4.6
Teleop14.3
End3.8
red by 6.0
5215
#15
16.61.4
14.616.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End5.3
Third
7597
#31
13.91.7
13.114.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.6
End3.3
blue by 0.2
469
#24
14.11.4
13.514.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
78%HAB Docking oddsEarned36%HAB Docking oddsMissed