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Red47
36326.1
759713.9
776220.3
Blue69
259115.8
91024.9
611715.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415920804769

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7762
#18
20.30.3
18.318.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End3.7
blue by 4.5
910
#5
24.90.9
23.023.9
Auto3.3
Teleop14.9
End6.6
Second
7597
#31
13.90.3
14.715.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.6
End3.3
blue by 1.8
2591
#27
15.80.9
16.117.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End3.1
Third
3632
#38
6.10.3
5.86.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End-0.0
blue by 9.6
6117
#26
15.70.9
16.517.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsEarned