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Red47
695817.2
521516.6
353921.1
Blue59
46914.1
481018.6
330219.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595330405070804759

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#30
21.10.6
22.822.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End2.8
red by 1.9
3302
#32
19.20.7
18.319.0
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End4.0
Second
6958
#20
17.20.6
16.916.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End4.3
blue by 1.5
4810
#13
18.60.6
17.418.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.2
End5.0
Third
5215
#15
16.60.6
16.015.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End5.3
red by 2.5
469
#24
14.10.6
14.915.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsEarned41%HAB Docking oddsMissed