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Red59
481513.9
759713.9
233728.5
Blue58
771610.6
296024.0
776921.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454820304060705958

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.3
22.122.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End7.8
red by 4.4
24.00.4
21.121.6
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End6.9
Second
7597
#31
13.90.3
11.611.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.6
End3.3
blue by 7.1
7769
#12
21.10.4
16.316.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End6.6
Third
4815
#33
13.90.3
9.29.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End1.9
red by 3.3
7716
#25
10.60.4
8.58.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed64%HAB Docking oddsEarned