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Red63
779017.5
556019.7
437620.0
Blue81
609717.3
330222.6
361817.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6061455055657075806381

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4376
#17
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End9.0
blue by 2.5
22.60.3
22.622.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End7.0
Second
19.70.0
19.719.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End8.3
red by 2.4
6097
#21
17.30.3
17.317.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End3.8
Third
7790
#19
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End4.2
red by 0.2
3618
#26
17.20.3
17.317.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.0
End4.1