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Red41
720812.5
43988.8
716027.1
Blue46
376722.2
786112.4
518312.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3635102030405060704146

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.5
21.121.6
Auto5.7
Teleop15.3
End6.1
red by 4.9
22.20.9
19.019.8
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End4.0
Second
7208
#27
12.50.5
10.210.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.7
End2.1
red by 0.1
7861
#14
12.40.9
4.75.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End2.3
Third
4398
#40
8.80.5
2.63.1
Auto4.0
Teleop1.9
End2.9
blue by 3.3
5183
#33
12.10.9
9.310.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed