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Red52
132221.7
611216.4
655212.5
Blue46
521311.9
437620.0
518312.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41381020305060705246

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.7
16.116.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End6.1
red by 1.6
4376
#17
20.00.7
16.717.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End9.0
Second
6112
#13
16.40.7
12.913.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.6
End2.8
red by 4.3
5183
#33
12.10.7
10.210.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End3.0
Third
6552
#38
12.50.7
10.110.7
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End2.4
red by 0.6
5213
#28
11.90.7
8.89.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed51%HAB Docking oddsMissed