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Red58
361817.2
780813.0
786112.4
Blue45
511015.8
376722.2
600515.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34440102040506070805845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3618
#26
17.21.2
16.117.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.0
End4.1
blue by 5.0
22.20.2
19.820.0
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End4.0
Second
7808
#32
13.01.2
10.011.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.3
blue by 2.8
5110
#18
15.80.2
10.911.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End4.4
Third
7861
#14
12.41.2
5.66.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End2.3
blue by 3.2
6005
#25
15.60.2
11.311.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed