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Red27
655212.5
361817.2
524714.0
Blue45
330222.6
720812.5
717115.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4245253035505560652745

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3618
#26
17.20.8
15.214.4
Auto5.1
Teleop8.0
End4.1
blue by 5.3
22.60.1
19.219.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End7.0
Second
5247
#16
14.00.8
13.612.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End2.6
blue by 1.1
7171
#35
15.10.1
13.713.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End3.8
Third
6552
#38
12.50.8
10.59.7
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Level
7208
#27
12.50.2
10.010.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed