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Red36
785514.9
717115.1
608721.7
Blue63
55048.6
368826.2
716027.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525602040801003663

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6087
#10
21.70.9
21.020.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End8.9
blue by 5.4
27.10.5
22.823.3
Auto5.7
Teleop15.3
End6.1
Second
7171
#35
15.10.9
14.814.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End3.8
blue by 11.1
26.20.5
23.023.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.6
End6.2
Third
7855
#20
14.90.9
13.212.3
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End3.6
red by 6.3
5504
#30
8.60.5
6.97.4
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsEarned