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Red49
43988.8
511015.8
171117.1
Blue48
779017.5
659911.7
361817.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35450204060804948

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1711
#15
17.11.1
14.815.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End5.6
blue by 0.3
7790
#19
17.50.4
15.115.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End4.2
Second
5110
#18
15.81.1
12.413.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End4.4
blue by 1.5
3618
#26
17.20.4
16.316.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.0
End4.1
Third
4398
#40
8.81.1
5.96.9
Auto4.0
Teleop1.9
End2.9
blue by 2.9
6599
#29
11.70.4
11.011.4
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed