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Red49
609717.3
659911.7
511015.8
Blue45
518312.1
55048.6
556019.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4339102030506070804945

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6097
#21
17.30.3
16.216.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End3.8
blue by 2.4
19.70.5
18.619.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End8.3
Second
5110
#18
15.80.3
13.513.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End4.4
red by 3.7
5183
#33
12.10.5
11.311.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End3.0
Third
6599
#29
11.70.3
11.411.7
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End3.3
red by 3.2
5504
#30
8.60.5
7.47.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsEarned