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Red47
60748.8
224610.6
368826.2
Blue52
171117.1
609717.3
720812.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444702060801004752

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.3
23.824.1
Auto6.4
Teleop13.6
End6.2
red by 8.9
6097
#21
17.30.1
16.516.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End3.8
Second
2246
#39
10.60.3
8.89.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End1.9
blue by 6.6
1711
#15
17.10.1
16.216.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End5.6
Third
6074
#37
8.80.3
9.49.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.2
End3.1
blue by 3.7
7208
#27
12.50.1
12.011.9
Auto5.7
Teleop4.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed