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Red37
508616.8
656110.4
715513.2
Blue36
608721.7
171117.1
518312.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3647102030406070803736

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5086
#24
16.80.2
11.711.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.3
End4.2
blue by 4.9
6087
#10
21.70.6
21.120.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End8.9
Second
7155
#11
13.20.2
9.59.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End4.2
blue by 3.9
1711
#15
17.10.7
13.913.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End5.6
Third
6561
#36
10.40.2
12.512.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.3
End3.1
blue by 1.6
5183
#33
12.10.6
9.99.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed73%HAB Docking oddsMissed