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Red58
330222.6
556019.7
361817.2
Blue51
660015.5
779017.5
609717.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61502040801005851

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.0
21.221.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End7.0
red by 5.1
7790
#19
17.50.2
16.416.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End4.2
Second
19.70.0
19.619.6
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End8.3
red by 2.4
6097
#21
17.30.2
16.216.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End3.8
Third
3618
#26
17.20.0
16.917.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.0
End4.1
red by 1.7
6600
#23
15.50.2
14.815.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed