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Red55
518312.1
660015.5
132221.7
Blue29
717115.1
780813.0
656110.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50432060805529

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.5
20.721.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End6.1
red by 6.6
7171
#35
15.10.8
15.915.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End3.8
Second
6600
#23
15.50.5
15.015.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End4.9
red by 2.6
7808
#32
13.00.8
13.813.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Third
5183
#33
12.10.5
11.612.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End3.0
red by 1.6
6561
#36
10.40.8
11.210.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed