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Red40
552513.5
511015.8
785514.9
Blue61
498313.1
330222.6
786112.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4647303540505560654061

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5110
#18
15.80.2
15.615.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End4.4
blue by 6.8
22.61.1
21.222.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End7.0
Second
7855
#20
14.90.2
14.214.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End3.6
red by 1.7
4983
#22
13.11.1
12.113.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End3.1
Third
5525
#31
13.50.2
13.713.5
Auto2.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
red by 1.1
7861
#14
12.41.1
11.312.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsEarned