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Red49
612122.8
717115.1
779017.5
Blue60
132221.7
498313.1
511015.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473901020306070804960

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.3
18.418.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.6
End5.3
red by 1.1
21.70.9
15.316.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End6.1
Second
7790
#19
17.50.3
12.212.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End4.2
red by 1.7
5110
#18
15.80.9
10.010.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End4.4
Third
7171
#35
15.10.3
13.914.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End3.8
red by 2.0
4983
#22
13.10.9
11.412.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed