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Red36
61149.3
517313.2
8525.1
Blue37
658911.4
604313.8
553511.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463301020405060703637

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#8
25.10.5
19.919.4
Auto5.6
Teleop11.1
End8.3
red by 11.3
13.80.3
9.79.4
Auto5.5
Teleop3.5
End4.8
Second
5173
#29
13.20.9
14.013.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.4
End4.2
red by 1.8
6589
#25
11.40.3
8.68.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End3.5
Third
6114
#31
9.30.9
10.09.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End2.6
blue by 2.0
5535
#20
11.40.3
12.712.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed