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Red60
571018.2
553511.4
362024.6
Blue47
687716.8
7422.8
606517.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495110203040607080906047

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.9
18.919.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End8.6
red by 1.9
74
#16
22.80.1
18.318.2
Auto5.5
Teleop13.5
End3.8
Second
5710
#17
18.20.9
15.516.3
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End5.4
red by 1.2
6065
#22
17.00.1
15.815.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Third
5535
#20
11.40.9
12.413.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End3.2
blue by 5.4
16.80.1
14.614.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsEarned