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Red27
609418.6
606615.7
64288.1
Blue49
571018.2
61149.3
522715.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384310203050602749

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6094
#13
18.60.6
15.414.9
Auto5.5
Teleop10.1
End3.0
red by 0.4
5710
#17
18.20.1
17.317.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.2
End5.4
Second
6066
#18
15.71.0
10.39.4
Auto5.6
Teleop5.0
End5.1
red by 0.3
5227
#11
15.50.1
15.415.3
Auto4.8
Teleop5.7
End5.0
Third
6428
#34
8.11.0
9.99.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End3.0
blue by 1.2
6114
#31
9.30.2
8.48.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsEarned