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Red42
723411.4
345814.9
531613.8
Blue50
517313.2
781211.7
654816.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383602060801004250

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3458
#15
14.90.4
12.813.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End3.7
blue by 1.1
6548
#21
16.00.4
10.310.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End4.6
Second
5316
#33
13.80.7
12.613.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End4.7
red by 0.6
5173
#29
13.20.7
13.314.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.4
End4.2
Third
7234
#38
11.40.4
10.510.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End3.1
blue by 0.3
7812
#24
11.75.4
16.110.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed