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Red60
609418.6
247422.7
561012.1
Blue40
10724.7
553511.4
124318.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485530406070806040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.3
18.920.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End6.8
blue by 2.0
107
#2
24.71.3
23.322.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End8.3
Second
6094
#13
18.60.8
14.915.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.1
End3.0
red by 0.5
1243
#12
18.10.8
15.715.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End6.8
Third
5610
#19
12.10.8
11.612.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End3.7
red by 0.8
5535
#20
11.40.8
12.711.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsEarned72%HAB Docking oddsMissed