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Red38
54706.7
723411.4
556725.3
Blue46
658911.4
606615.7
445313.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453210204050603846

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5567
#10
25.30.3
23.122.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End8.9
red by 9.6
6066
#18
15.71.7
9.411.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.0
End5.1
Second
7234
#38
11.40.3
9.89.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End3.1
blue by 2.1
4453
#27
13.51.0
12.313.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.0
End4.1
Third
5470
#37
6.70.5
9.59.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End2.0
blue by 4.8
6589
#25
11.41.0
8.79.7
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsEarned