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Red39
54706.7
724811.8
609418.6
Blue29
723411.4
323411.7
705417.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4142203050603929

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6094
#13
18.60.0
15.615.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.1
End3.0
red by 1.2
7054
#23
17.40.7
16.315.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.3
End3.9
Second
7248
#35
11.80.0
14.114.2
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End3.9
red by 0.2
3234
#28
11.71.2
14.213.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End2.9
Third
5470
#37
6.70.0
9.09.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End2.0
blue by 4.8
7234
#38
11.40.7
9.58.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed