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Red37
553511.4
522715.5
723411.4
Blue72
556725.3
124318.1
7422.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406120305070803772

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5227
#11
15.50.1
16.916.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.7
End5.0
blue by 9.8
5567
#10
25.30.9
23.324.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End8.9
Second
7234
#38
11.40.1
8.88.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End3.1
blue by 11.3
74
#16
22.80.9
20.121.1
Auto5.5
Teleop13.5
End3.8
Third
5535
#20
11.40.1
12.512.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End3.2
blue by 6.8
1243
#12
18.10.9
14.515.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed79%HAB Docking oddsEarned