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Red43
604313.8
654816.0
345814.9
Blue34
724811.8
561012.1
658911.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4339203050604334

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#21
16.00.1
15.115.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End4.6
red by 3.9
5610
#19
12.10.2
12.812.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End3.7
Second
3458
#15
14.90.1
13.813.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End3.7
red by 3.1
7248
#35
11.80.2
11.911.7
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End3.9
Third
13.80.1
12.112.2
Auto5.5
Teleop3.5
End4.8
red by 2.3
6589
#25
11.40.2
12.212.0
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed