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Red58
468019.9
766024.3
520520.0
Blue95
365525.7
364129.3
553020.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76766065708085905895

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7660
#19
24.30.9
23.522.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End5.4
blue by 5.0
29.30.9
26.127.0
Auto3.2
Teleop20.1
End6.1
Second
5205
#21
20.00.9
26.125.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End4.0
blue by 5.6
25.70.9
21.422.3
Auto5.4
Teleop14.4
End5.9
Third
4680
#15
19.90.9
22.021.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End5.4
blue by 0.3
5530
#14
20.20.9
24.125.0
Auto3.5
Teleop12.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed24%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
76%HAB Docking oddsMissed81%HAB Docking oddsEarned