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Red70
364129.3
283424.0
556720.1
Blue60
102322.8
2834B13.0
553020.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716302040801001207060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.2
26.927.1
Auto3.2
Teleop20.1
End6.1
red by 6.5
1023
#12
22.80.0
24.925.0
Auto3.8
Teleop15.2
End3.8
Second
24.00.2
18.218.4
Auto5.9
Teleop15.2
End3.0
red by 3.8
5530
#14
20.20.0
23.623.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.0
End4.7
Third
20.10.2
22.422.6
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End7.1
red by 7.1
13.00.1
10.810.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
28%Rocket oddsEarned23%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
76%HAB Docking oddsMissed72%HAB Docking oddsEarned