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Red43
766024.3
520520.0
2834B13.0
Blue55
3641B12.7
364129.3
567624.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687602040601001201401604355

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7660
#19
24.31.4
24.723.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End5.4
blue by 5.0
29.31.2
27.926.7
Auto3.2
Teleop20.1
End6.1
Second
5205
#21
20.01.4
29.227.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End4.0
blue by 4.4
5676
#16
24.41.2
30.529.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.6
End4.4
Third
13.05.5
13.37.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End4.1
red by 0.2
12.70.7
12.712.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed60%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsMissed81%HAB Docking oddsMissed