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Red92
365525.7
168430.6
364129.3
Blue75
332218.3
283424.0
477629.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89750501001509275

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.5
30.531.0
Auto3.1
Teleop23.6
End3.8
red by 1.2
29.40.2
29.329.6
Auto5.5
Teleop17.8
End6.1
Second
29.30.5
28.328.8
Auto3.2
Teleop20.1
End6.1
red by 5.3
24.00.2
23.223.5
Auto5.9
Teleop15.2
End3.0
Third
25.70.5
25.626.1
Auto5.4
Teleop14.4
End5.9
red by 7.4
18.30.2
18.819.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
35%Rocket oddsEarned31%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsEarned33%HAB Docking oddsMissed