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Red44
462412.9
419818.2
173216.9
Blue31
501913.8
179215.7
514310.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473601020306070804431

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#12
18.20.1
16.416.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End4.1
red by 2.5
1792
#38
15.70.4
14.113.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End4.7
Second
1732
#24
16.90.1
16.516.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.5
End4.1
red by 3.2
5019
#52
13.80.4
11.010.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End3.2
Third
4624
#53
12.90.1
11.711.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End4.2
red by 2.1
5143
#43
10.80.4
9.38.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsEarned