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Red40
459317.8
173216.9
245013.6
Blue53
731111.6
485917.4
87619.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493702060804053

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4593
#18
17.80.7
14.213.5
Auto3.3
Teleop12.1
End2.5
blue by 1.5
876
#13
19.42.0
16.418.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End5.6
Second
1732
#24
16.90.7
16.515.8
Auto3.3
Teleop9.5
End4.1
blue by 0.5
17.42.0
10.612.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End5.9
Third
2450
#44
13.60.7
15.514.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End3.9
red by 2.0
7311
#48
11.62.0
7.79.7
Auto2.4
Teleop8.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsEarned