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Red40
470317.4
501913.8
753013.9
Blue37
453115.8
247011.4
523214.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293710204050604037

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.41.4
6.88.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.6
red by 1.5
4531
#39
15.80.2
12.612.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End5.3
Second
7530
#57
13.91.4
10.011.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End3.3
blue by 0.4
5232
#45
14.30.2
13.413.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Third
5019
#52
13.81.4
10.712.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End3.2
red by 2.3
2470
#56
11.40.2
9.19.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed