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Red59
590319.6
613218.4
514310.8
Blue49
543412.9
321219.2
305412.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404102060805949

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#14
19.61.2
15.516.8
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End3.8
red by 0.4
3212
#32
19.20.4
15.115.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Second
18.41.2
13.514.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.8
red by 5.5
5434
#51
12.90.4
13.714.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.4
End2.4
Third
5143
#43
10.81.2
8.910.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End4.0
blue by 1.5
3054
#60
12.30.4
10.210.6
Auto4.9
Teleop4.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed