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Red27
284610.3
460719.1
731111.6
Blue19
363016.6
543412.9
572011.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4142202530354045502719

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#29
19.12.0
13.211.2
Auto2.9
Teleop13.6
End2.6
red by 2.5
3630
#30
16.62.3
13.210.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End1.8
Second
7311
#48
11.62.0
11.69.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.4
End0.8
blue by 1.3
5434
#51
12.92.3
14.812.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.4
End2.4
Third
2846
#58
10.32.0
14.412.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End1.9
blue by 1.5
5720
#46
11.92.3
11.79.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed