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Red38
514310.8
459317.8
326719.6
Blue18
67075.9
60449.4
329711.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372910204050603818

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3267
#34
19.60.3
11.411.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End5.1
red by 8.5
3297
#47
11.11.0
9.18.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.9
End2.3
Second
4593
#18
17.80.3
13.513.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.1
End2.5
red by 8.5
6044
#54
9.41.0
8.17.1
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End2.5
Third
5143
#43
10.80.3
10.110.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End4.0
red by 4.9
6707
#59
5.91.0
10.09.0
Auto4.3
Teleop-0.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed