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Red65
282627.6
657416.2
701911.1
Blue40
459317.8
501913.8
462412.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50423060706540

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.62.0
19.821.8
Auto4.7
Teleop14.9
End7.9
red by 9.7
4593
#18
17.80.3
13.813.6
Auto3.3
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Second
6574
#22
16.22.0
13.715.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End3.7
red by 2.5
5019
#52
13.80.3
11.911.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End3.2
Third
7019
#27
11.12.0
13.715.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.1
End2.8
blue by 1.7
4624
#53
12.90.3
13.713.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed