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Red46
419818.2
470317.4
284716.6
Blue29
282319.5
286113.0
249917.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43420102030506070804629

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#12
18.20.6
14.615.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End4.1
blue by 1.3
19.51.5
16.414.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End5.2
Second
17.40.6
10.010.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.6
blue by 0.6
2499
#28
17.91.5
12.611.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End5.5
Third
2847
#21
16.60.6
16.416.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.5
red by 3.5
2861
#36
13.01.5
10.69.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed