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Red55
251116.9
731111.6
459317.8
Blue65
286113.0
179215.7
205227.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475330405060705565

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4593
#18
17.80.8
17.418.2
Auto3.3
Teleop12.1
End2.5
blue by 9.2
27.11.5
24.626.1
Auto5.8
Teleop14.2
End7.1
Second
16.90.8
16.717.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.7
End4.0
red by 1.2
1792
#38
15.71.5
15.116.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End4.7
Third
7311
#48
11.60.8
10.110.9
Auto2.4
Teleop8.4
End0.8
blue by 1.5
2861
#36
13.01.5
10.712.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed63%HAB Docking oddsMissed