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Red37
249917.9
523214.3
179215.7
Blue49
308116.6
321219.2
469315.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40392530354550553749

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2499
#28
17.90.1
11.411.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End5.5
blue by 1.3
3212
#32
19.21.4
11.612.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Second
1792
#38
15.70.1
14.214.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End4.7
blue by 0.8
3081
#35
16.61.4
12.714.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End4.1
Third
5232
#45
14.30.1
12.512.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End2.7
blue by 1.5
4693
#33
15.81.4
12.313.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed