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Red58
327511.8
250617.9
400921.8
Blue57
327710.2
329410.4
250315.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40404550555857

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.81.9
16.418.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End5.3
red by 6.2
15.60.6
12.411.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.4
End6.8
Second
2506
#28
17.91.9
11.213.1
Auto3.2
Teleop10.1
End4.7
red by 7.5
3294
#40
10.40.6
13.012.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End3.7
Third
3275
#30
11.81.9
10.512.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End3.1
red by 1.6
3277
#62
10.20.6
12.812.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsEarned